About Me

Investment Adviser Representative at Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a $94B RIA based in Fairfield, IA. I am also registered with Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a broker-dealer with over 3,000 Registered Representatives nationwide.

Federal Reserve

Essential advice for understanding the Federal Reserve

The Fed Balance Sheet Reduction Schedule

By: Tim Hayes Financial Advisor - posted in: Economy, Markets, and Interest Rates - Last updated Nov 18, 2018

If your bank account dropped from $100,000 to $80,000, would you be inclined to spend more, or less? Would it matter if the drop happened all at once, or over 16 months? This is the predicament in which Federal Reserve Chairman front-runner candidate Jerome Powell finds himself.

Read More
The Fed Balance Sheet Reduction Schedule

Why an Inverted Yield Curve Matters

By: Tim Hayes Financial Advisor - posted in: Investment Advisor - Last updated Nov 18, 2018

We’re hearing a lot of talk in the financial press and on Wall Street about the potential for the yield curve to invert. And if it does, will that signal a coming recession? An inverted yield curve happens when short-term interest rates are higher than long-term ones.

Read More
Why an Inverted Yield Curve Matters

Is the Reduction of the Fed’s Balance Sheet a Ticking Time Bomb? Two Financial Heavyweights Weigh In

By: Tim Hayes Financial Advisor - posted in: Economy, Markets, and Interest Rates - Last updated Nov 18, 2018

A dispute is brewing in the financial press between two financial heavyweights: Paul Sheard, Executive Vice President and Chief Economist of S&P Global, and Urjit Patel, Governor of the Reserve Bank of India.

Read More
Is the Reduction of the Fed’s Balance Sheet a Ticking Time Bomb? Two Financial Heavyweights Weigh In

2017: The Year the Federal Reserve Is Living Dangerously

By: Tim Hayes Financial Advisor - posted in: Economy, Markets, and Interest Rates - Last updated Nov 18, 2018

Starting in 2009, the Federal Reserve added a couple trillion dollars of new money to the economy through a quantitative easing program of buying bonds from banks and non-banks. Now the Feds reportedly want to reduce their balance sheet by selling those bonds.

Read More
2017: The Year the Federal Reserve Is Living Dangerously

Why Tax Cuts, Combined with the Federal Reserve Reducing Its Balance Sheet, Is So Risky for Our Economy

By: Tim Hayes Financial Advisor - posted in: Economy, Markets, and Interest Rates - Last updated Nov 17, 2018

The 1% got $5 trillion of help from the Federal Reserve during QE. The bill for that support, which comes due just as the Fed reduces its balance sheet, just got sent to the middle-class through this new tax bill.

Read More
Why Tax Cuts, Combined with the Federal Reserve Reducing Its Balance Sheet, Is So Risky for Our Economy

Ex-fed Chief Greenspan’s Bond Bubble Warning

By: Tim Hayes Financial Advisor - posted in: Investment Advisor - Last updated Nov 18, 2018

Add ex-Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan to the list of experts warning about a bond market bubble. Speaking in late July to Bloomberg News, Greenspan warned, “Equity bears hunting for excess in the stock market might be better off worrying about bond prices…

Read More